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Logistics is a multi-trillion-dollar industry that quietly powers the entire global economy — and it's shockingly manual.Ryan Petersen, founder & CEO of Flexport, joins the Lightcone to break ...
Logistics are very scale driven industry. And so the bigger you get, the cheaper you get. Our take is that we can make the price of shipping anything by ocean container shipping between 810% cheaper over the next few years, and AI is a big part of that. So our AI for that saved us 2% of our ocean freight spend while improving transit time 20%. Usually, that's a trade off.
It's, like, either faster or cheaper Yeah. But not both.
And you're at $2,000,000,000 a year revenue and just getting started. Welcome back to another episode of the Light Cone. We've got a real treat today. We have Ryan Peterson of Flexport with us. He went through YC in 2014, and he is easily one of the most awesome founders I've ever met.
Ryan, thanks a lot for joining.
Thank you.
To start, Ryan, what is Flexport, and what are some of the things in AI you're actually implementing right now?
So Flexport is a global logistics company built around a modern tech stack. And that means we help companies ship cargo from point a to point b across any mode of transport, so air, ocean, truck, and rail, and get that cargo delivered hopefully on time and in full at a lower cost, thanks to the tech. What we're doing with AI is man, it's an exhaust I had to make an exhaustive way to extend the length of the podcast to pull that off. But starts with customer user experience. What can we do with their data?
Getting them better access. How do we load containers in the optimal way? How do we put that container onto the right ship at the lowest cost while maintaining or beating transit time expectations? Automating just tons of work that's done in email or that you or phone or work that you wouldn't even do because the cost is too high for a human, but actually does create some value that's worth it with AI. So most contracts in logistics come in giant Excel files, thousands of rows and, you know, a dozen tabs.
You can't just feed that to OpenAI and get an answer get a structured JSON file back. It needs intelligence. But writing code and then having AI write the code, you write a parser that ingests it and then have AI that can write those parsers for you learning. It's an endless list, and we feel like we don't even know all the things that it can do. It's still pretty new.
So basically, one of the most, human intensive things now can be streamlined to the point where actually it might, affect GDP in the world.
Our our take is that we can make the price of shipping anything by ocean container shipping cheaper by between 810% cheaper over the next few years. And AI is a big not the only part of that, but a big part of that. As our our business model, the way we think about it is as I call it scale economy shared, which is the bigger you get, the cheaper you get. The more automation is a form of scale. And the bigger you get or the cheaper you get, you lower your the lower your cost, you give that share that with your customer, which will make them do even more volume with you.
There's scale benefits that come logistics are very scale driven industry. And so the bigger you get, the cheaper you get. Like, the Costco model. I like I like I love Costco even though I don't shop there. I just love the business.
You keep driving down the price that makes you more attractive, more competitive, and and just keep going.
Yeah. And you're at $2,000,000,000 a year revenue and just getting started.
Just getting started. Yes. Something I'm
curious about. So from our perspective, we work with the startups, and we've seen, like, AI over the last couple of years go from, like, when ChatGPT launched, and then some startups in the batch start playing around with it and it's become progressively more serious. I think you're the first person we've had on the show who's running a company at scale that was founded pre AI. What have the last few years been like for you from that perspective, from, like, ChatGPT launch? Like, at what point did it start becoming, like, a thing you were paying more attention to?
Like, many other people is on November '20 was it 2022? It's already been a few years since the ChatGPT launch. Been personally obsessed ever ever since then. It's interesting to watch it take hold at the company and in some cases not take hold, and you then saying, like, come on, guys. We can't be this boomer company.
Like, everybody needs to be using this. We're trying to drive that sense of paranoia from the from the top, from me, but but many others in the company, maybe even more paranoid than me or more enthusiastic, excited than me as well, to say that story that we say of, like, well, we're the only large logistics company founded since the web browser. And I know there's a kid in the next YC batch who say, hey. We're the only freight forwarder founded since Chatty Pizzy November 2022. Like, it's got a point.
So we we have to be leading on this. This is true of all incumbents in an industry. They have some real advantages when it comes to AI and benefiting from it. And and one is the scale of the data. Two is the domain experience to know, okay.
Which problems should we be solving? And some of those problems are small enough that you shouldn't start a whole company around the problem. It's maybe a feature, not a company. But for them, it's great. It's a valuable feature that they could add.
And third is distribution. Like, when we build or any large company builds a great AI product, the next day, it can be used by thousands of companies. Whereas a start up doing that has to go beg people for their data to train the model and trust get earn their trust to have that data from a security compliance standpoint. And then third, get the customer. Get you know?
So that's the huge advantage that any incumbent will have, and we think we we definitely feel that we have that advantage at our scale. But the flip side where I think we also have an advantage is that we are still a young company relative to our industry, but young in terms of our tech stack. Like, we build our own tech. Therefore, we can implement and integrate AI and just add it wherever we want. Most of our competitors treat AI treat technology, period, as IT, as a service that they pay for.
Many cases, like, desktop app or, like, Windows remote desktop is very common in our industry. But still, it's it's something they buy, and therefore, you don't control the code base. If you wanted to add AI to automate something or do something, you're like, it's not really it's hard.
Has there been a specific moment since ChatGPT launch where you started as a company sort of taking it more seriously? Because my impression is the first version was a toy. Even in the YC batches, we sort of see some founders playing around with things, but it wasn't clear that they'd actually be companies founded So on I'm just curious what founder running large scale company. You start out, you're like, this is really interesting to me personally. Like, was there some moment where you're like, oh, like, we should probably try and, like, build something or do something internally with this?
Yeah. I think a lot of it has come through in our hackathons, but there could be an interesting metric here. It's like, what percentage of hackathon projects, first of all, used AI? Like, we're building something with large language models. And which percent of the projects actually you decided to fund and push into, like, oh, let's actually make this thing real.
It's not just a hack.
Is hackathon something you've done for a while? Is that, like
Yeah. We usually do two a year. Okay. I think now we're, like, kind of religious about two every year, but but one to two a year where and for us, it's very much a free for all. Can build anything you want.
If you look now at the last two hackathons we've done, it'd been, like, 90% LLM based projects. In my I haven't studied it, but it's just, like, feeling my feeling, my gut. Whereas probably eighteen months ago, there were, like, four or five. That's interesting. We there's probably 50, teams that do a hackathon project each time.
In the beginning of of Flexport, I was very much of this idea that, like, you just let let the peep get smart people and get out of their way and go execute. And
Oh, that sounds like manager mode.
Yeah. It was I I I had way too much manager mode. I had this idea of, like, human beings are gonna flourish if only they could be savory. I don't wanna be told what to do by the man. That's why I started a company.
I don't wanna be told what to do. And I went through my own Chesky moment of founder mode and recognizing, oh, you gotta be way more tops down and directive and tell people what to do and get people aligned and rowing in the right direction. And that's been my evolution the last two years at Flexport. I've been pretty way more hands on and hardcore in directing the business. But then as I see these hackathons, I'm like, I never would have come up with that idea in a million years.
And I I gotta let these guys build what they wanna build and flourish. And so I'm starting to now come back on myself and say, where's the room in our product road map for bottoms up innovation? Certainly, you see it in these hackathons and trying to maybe even start making sure I do the hackathon timing before we do our kind of roadmap exercise every six months or so. We probably do the hackathon right before that so that when you see a great idea, you can budget it instead of after budget.
I mean, there's a noteworthy change here that's happening for you that I mean, I think most companies might throw a hackathon, and then in most hackathons, the 90% of the projects are just like toys, and you never return to them again. Like, you know, someone gets a nice participation trophy, and that's it. Yeah. But, like, it sounds like the difference right now in the age of LLMs and age of intelligence is that these hackathon things are actually turning into real product lines and features for you.
Yes. And and at the very least, it's debates in my head of being like, man, I've gotta do that. But I also I lost we're gonna we're gonna crush everybody with just our regular road map. But I had this after the very think our last our next hackathon's in two weeks. It'll last over six months ago.
Remember thinking afterwards. I'm like, you know what? We could just only do that stuff, and we'll also win.
Yeah. Maybe win faster? Maybe.
It's highly unlikely that the person at the top now knows best what the best implications are, applications are, that it's it's just as likely that someone on the front line is closer to the problem is gonna go, hey. Look. Watch. It can do this. You go, oh, man.
I wouldn't have guessed it could do that.
You kinda need engineers who are just really into it and have been playing around with it and just, like, understand how to, like, build the products in the first place to come up with the idea is probably Engineers.
And engineers being really close to the business is something we've always prided ourselves on, like, really being in the weeds. And one of the other things that we've done is create a program for non engineers to learn AI skills and if kind of formalized program. So your manager has to agree, but you get one day a week for ninety days. It's a ninety day program. One day a week where we teach you kind of a AI boot camp, vibe coding, and different ways to apply.
And it's it's a new program, so we're only about six months into this. We'll see how it works out. But people love it, and you are seeing gains. But the the promise of the leader who created this and convinced the managers to give up someone for 20% of their time to go into it was, I will return them to you as 10 times more productive than their peers. I'm sure we haven't have achieved that, or it would show up in the metrics.
But that is the the you know, that's the idea.
How are you training all these folks to uplevel scale in AI? What are what are the sorts of things they're learning?
Certainly, it's it's cursor and a set of related products like that that, like I think we're using something called Streamlit, but probably there's YC company. I don't know. Maybe we should use Replit or something with similar ideas. You can spin up build your own little apps, build workflow automation tools to say, okay. Because a lot of what Flexport is, we call it freight forwarding.
I've often joked it should be called freight email forwarding. You're, like, taking docs and sending it on. So how do you look at a person's job? And there's no one better to look at it than the person doing the job and saying, oh, man. I'm doing the same thing over and over again.
What if I instead it's like if everybody was an engineer, they would and I've thought about this in the past is saying, hey. What if I took one group of engineers and and hire them as engineers as a big bait and switch and then tell them, actually, you're just moving freight. Sorry. And watch them automate their way out of the job. Right?
And you sort of say, okay. I I never really wanted to do that to an engineer because I feel like I'd just have a revolt of but now you're kinda like, well, I could do it to a nonengineer who's already doing that job and turn them into a, you know, lightweight, no low code
Which is cool. Yeah. This is going the other direction where you're taking really all these super domain experts, and now they can finally build, and they can automate themselves out of it instead of getting the engineer to do it.
Yep. And that that program started on our Amsterdam. We have an engineering office in Amsterdam. It started there. I think they did it without me knowing about it for the first six few months, and then now we're like, oh, this is great.
Everybody loves it. So we're we're starting to bring it global to other offices.
I wonder if you could share some examples of the AI projects that you rolled out that have been most impactful over the last couple years. Both customer facing features, but also, like, any internal operational things that you guys have automated that maybe the customers have no idea about.
Yeah. The customer facing one probably the most impactful. Like, a lot of what you care about from your logistics company is your data, what's going on with my supply chain, where the types of data that people are looking at. So the way Flexport works, you you place orders to your factories through Flexport. So I'm replenishing my inventory.
I'm buying things. I'm placing purchase orders. So those flow out to the factory. Factory becomes a user. There's a nice network effect there.
Once the cargo's ready, they place a booking. And then we execute that a booking to move the freight to come pick it up on this date, and we'll execute it by air, ocean, truck, rail, whatever, and move it across the world for you. So that's kind of the the loop that we're trying to run. So you care a lot about the data for on time performance, SKU level performance, cost. You care a lot about that.
There's customs attributes here that are super important with tariffs and everything that's happening. So being able to get that data is one of the core areas that Flexport shines already historically. With AI, and this did start as a hackathon project. We just built, like, natural language ability so that you don't need to know SQL. You don't need to build dashboards.
You just type your question, and it generates those graphs, charts, tables. Don't think it does maps yet, but it should. And it works, and that is done wonder one of customers love it, but two is it's about 25% of our account management time is spent helping people generate reports. Mhmm. That's the
Got it.
Another huge metric for us. If we're cheaper, we'll more people will choose us. It's not that we just started using AI with LLMs. We've had a machine learning model for doing planning for and planning in the sense of logistics means, let's say, a containerized basis. I've got a container.
Which ship should it go on? Therefore, you need all the contracts with their price. You need the sailing schedules, like how long is it gonna take, which route, variability, all the around those both those things. So our AI for that saved us 2% of our ocean freight spend while improving transit time 20%. Usually, that's a trade off.
It's like, it's either faster or cheaper Yeah. But not both. So huge win there. Customers don't they care a lot about those metrics. They don't care how we did it.
And for that one, was the unlock parsing a bunch of unstructured, like, emails and data that you get from the shipping companies that have this, but it's all, like, like, a big paragraph where, like, you couldn't just, like, run a simple query on it before.
Sort of. Yeah. The way to think about it is you've got if you just put a container on the cheapest contract, you you made a it's an optimization. Okay. Which one's the cheapest, but also the fastest?
You know, I'm I'm trading off. So that that's one thing that machines are better at. And then it's the scale of that. So on a given week, we have about 2,000 containers that get canceled by our customers. They place the booking, and then they say, oh, actually, cargo's not ready.
The factory is late. It's just inevitable. It's gonna happen. What software does that humans could never do is go through 10 times a day and taking each one of those containers and say, okay. I lost this container.
It's been canceled. Is there another container that was meant to depart one week from now, and I'll grab that and move it forward? That's how you get the 20% transit time increase. And then the optimization piece of find is just find the cheapest contract, like a solver out, you know, algorithm to go find
the can't do that because it has to happen really quickly?
Because it's happening 10 times a day for every container in the system. Okay. You know, it's just like you wouldn't. Maybe you could, but you wouldn't be able hire, like, an army of cars. Crazy.
If you calculate this first principle, sounded like that first version was using classical optimization problems, and you had certain data about all these shipments, inputs, outputs, and schedules. What do you think is the delta that you could get with AI now that you could harness all the instructor data? What kind of efficiencies could you get?
You may be able to get a lot more now that you're starting to see tool use because the tool itself is incredibly powerful. And I don't think an LLM will outperform that, but the LLM can use that tool, and it could do other things outside of that, so you can we'll see. We haven't started to do that yet. So we're actually still using that.
I can actually email people or call them up and
Yeah. But it it could you assign the LLM the same solver problem, but it is gonna default to use this tool, and then it'll also say, yes, maybe this container, I'm not sure if I could move it forward. I should ask the customer, would be a good idea, actually. Email them, hey, is it okay if I bring you this container early?
Like, solver's still there, but then, basically, the agent is the user.
Yes. Instead of right now, there's not really a user, or there's a there's someone who's approving the plan, and so you could make that person upstream of the solver choose the solver as one of many tools. So that'd be interesting. We haven't done that yet. But and then the other thing is so just routine work.
For example, you've got a lot of email communication with your customer base. So how do you take this? You you say, hey. I wanna place a booking for a container. Translate that into a booking.
LLMs are quite good at that. A big use case today is verifying warehouse addresses and and other information and getting appointments. I've gotta deliver to a warehouse. Quite costly to call the warehouse and be like, do I have the right address? You're not gonna do it every time, and then you have a lot of misses where your address data was bad and your truck got lost.
You know, it's pain in the ass. So LLMs now before we deliver, we if we haven't delivered to the site in the last three months, there's an LLM agent that does email and voice.
Interesting. Wow. So if necessary, it'll actually call the warehouse and be like, hey. Can you confirm that 2PM tomorrow is a okay time to deliver this?
Yes.
Yes. Oh, very cool.
Great because you're turning this previous communication protocol, which is very much, I suppose, very lossy to work sort of like the Internet, like TCP, fully acknowledge and you can And get guarantees.
And and sometimes it's not replacing work, although I'm very happy to do so. But, like, in some cases, the work would have been too expensive, so you just didn't do the work.
To do this phone call.
And even if a human could do it, it's, like, not worth it. Another good one is just messages. So, like, the way we communicate with our customer some of it's email, but a lot we try to drive as much as possible through our messaging applications inside the inside the Flexport platform. There's this huge amount of signal in that customer sentiment. If if if a customer in a k with AI, we've trained the model to detect unhappy customers in the way that they message us.
And then that creates an automatic escalation to the manager of the the frontline person doing, hey. This person seems upset. There's a lot of emotion in logistics. You know? It's your stuff.
Your business is on the line. You need to get it delivered. Infinite list. We we in fact, we measured at the beginning of the year, we had automated 20% of the work. It was pretty low scale of automation.
We're gonna finish this year at 50%, and we had set a goal for ourselves next year of 80. We thought 80 was actually the upper limit of what could be automated. It's it's not scientific, but now we feel like, oh, it's probably closer to 90 to 95 current, and then that'll get way more so as LLMs keep progressing.
How will that affect, like, the total cost of ocean freight? Like, if all the human work gets automated, does stuff actually get materially cheaper?
Yeah. It's 10% of the end cost that the buy the the importer exporter pays for their freight. 10% if you look at the full p and l, about 10% is the labor cost in the freight forwarding layer of logistics. Wow.
So so when AI is, like, fully rolled out, like, stuff will actually get 10% cheaper.
Well, the freight automated the stuff. The cost of moving that. Right? The stuff itself depends on what what the ratio is. But yeah.
The but, like, the transportation costs of, like, international freight is actually, like, 10% auto
On containerized ocean freight, that's our that's our view is that we can drop the price of everything by around 8%, and maybe it goes to 9% over the next few years by doing this.
That has some less big economic ripples in terms of if it's becoming cheaper to ship things across the ocean. Is it gonna create just more trade? I mean, there's also trade wars.
But Exactly. It's very hard to control for that in the mirror in a world where terrorists just made everything, like, 10 times more expensive, but we're doing our part.
I mean, the white pill on AI right now is, you know, this hope and sort of possibility that AI rolled out properly across society would increase GDP 7% a year. So this would be maybe
7% a year will double you in ten years is the the law of '72. Yeah. Yep. That is the hope. Right?
And I think more people should talk about that, and and everyone's so worried about automating away the jobs. And I just think that misunderstands the role of companies in the in society. Like, the role of companies is not to employ people. It's to deliver goods and services. And in fact, whoever employs the least number of people will have the lowest cost and win, and that's how they benefit society is lowering costs and making things more available for us to buy and sell.
And then there's this idea, well, how are people gonna make money if AI is doing all the work? And I I I think that that very much misunderstands human nature that we'll we'll just want more things. Like, there's an infinite desire inside the the the human soul can never be satisfied without god. We need more stuff. Like, we gotta have more.
We gotta have more. And so
We're trying to return to the garden.
We may get a return to some I I think that, actually, the Internet first, we haven't quite reconciled this on, like, a spiritual philosophical level, the the emergence of these technologies and and AI we're not even beginning to of what it means for us. But there's a period in history called the Axial Age. It's about 500 BC, and that's when coins really started to spread. What you had with if you think about it with coins is taking transactions between two people and make and really making them very in impersonal. You no longer care who you're doing business with.
I don't need to a ledger. Does this guy owe me money? What's my relationship? Do I trust him? Just like, here.
Take this thing. So and it it actually led to this breakdown in societies because we just stopped being so knowing your neighbor. Like, you used to only do business with your neighbors. Now you could just do business with any old person. The Internet kind of does that at scale.
What happened in the Axle Age, you had this breakdown of ability for of trust, and you started to get degeneracy and all kinds of, like, things that start to break down in society. And simultaneously across the world, had four major prophets that emerged. Yeah. Well, prophets is of sort. You had Buddha.
You had Lao Tzu, Confucius, and Socrates. They all lived at the exact same moment in time right as coins were taking hold.
That's amazing.
As like a, hey. We need to we need to kinda, like, get our hands around how how do we behave in this new world. So I do think there there's an opportunity here. Maybe it could be you, Gary, at YC
to to
be the next the next Socrates guest.
I I'm in, but I might not be the right person. But I I mean, I particularly like this idea that, like, the idea that what are humans going to do is a little bit invalid in that, you know, that's a little bit like going back five, eight hundred years and saying, like, oh my god, all of us are farmers, and then what are we gonna do when modern agriculture comes? Yeah. And it's like, we figured it out. Like,
we We're just The printing press.
Yeah.
Right? What are what are the monks gonna do? They're transcribing words all day. There's no more jobs for transcript. You're like
So there will be implications for society morality and how people relate to one another. And, obviously, like And
we we have no idea. It's early days, but history does kinda repeat, and there's lessons there and figure out, okay, how does this but the human nature doesn't change much. Right? And we and you can't satisfy humans. You're just gonna want more stuff.
The more money you have, the more classically. Right? Cliche. Like, the more you have, the more you want. That's not gonna go away.
So if you give people a lot more stuff, it's not like, oh, I'm gonna quit working. Most people aren't like that. I'm gonna get a lot of stuff. I'll just quit working. You find out you're miserable.
You wanna keep producing, keep contributing.
One of the interesting things that has been percolating around the Wisey community among young founders and, like, AI researchers that we've been talking to is this idea that, like, there are gonna be humans in the loop. The humans in the loop may well be, some some might be, like, government mandated. Right? You know, in fintech, there's a lot around you cannot have an AI algorithm, like approved loans, for instance. There are, requirements from the government in these highly regulated industries to have humans in the loop.
And then Customs brokerage as well. We have to have a human that's approving the transaction before before we clear customs.
Yeah. And so, vibe coding's happening. There's this idea of you enter a prompt, it comes back with a bunch of stuff, and then you just click accept all changes without reading any of it. Mhmm. Right?
Do you think this might happen? That would this happen at Flexport, would this happen more broadly across all businesses? Like, what if businesses are at the core, like, hyper intelligent AI that has access to all your systems of record, knows what to do, optimizes constantly, and then you have sort of like government mandated liability sinks that are humans in the loop. Ideally, the organizations still actually serve human needs, in which case, the decision to use, you know, vendor a or vendor b sometimes boils down to who brought me to the nicest steakhouse last.
Mhmm.
So then, like, the model for companies ends up being ASI of some sort, like some sort of AI process at the core of each company, but then, you know, humans attached to it as either, like, decision makers in, like, you know, accepting or preventing liability and or holding relationships with other relationship holders at other companies.
Yeah. And presumably, you're still relating with you're still here to serve humans. You know? Once we get to a world where AI is serving AI, then fair enough. You don't need to learn that much from the record of human history because there's no more humans involved in the loop.
And I I don't have a lot to say about that. But as long as there's humans there, there's gonna humans are gonna wanna relate with other humans and have a relationship. And I think we're pretty, pretty, pretty far from humans preferring to work with AI than to work with other humans. We're seeing where AI is doing more and more work. You know, another good example is and just that you made me think of with your bank, know, you have to have an approval or approver is that even our our humans in customs brokerage across the industry, we benchmark and make about 2% mistakes, and they file the entry with 2%.
And we built this sort of, like, AI spell checker. The two digit code for Australia versus Austria, you could easily get that wrong. And AI will figure out, like, oh, this thing is not made in Australia. It's made in Austria.
I guess one question for you, Ryan, is if you were to start Flexport today, how would the company be different?
Not that different, I hope. The things that Flexport did really well compared to all the other tech companies who have tried and failed in our space, both before we came along and in parallel, is we didn't look at ourselves as a pure technology company. We're willing to pick up the phone and solve problems with humans, drive down to the port still to this day. Like, I we've got a new customer who's asking us to do something really weird. We need a crane on the truck to unload this thing, and we don't have that.
It's not typical what we do. And I just said, take the customer, and I need you to drive there and follow the truck and make sure this goes well. So I I would not change that at all, and I think that's the that's the mistake that a lot of tech people will in traditional markets will fail at because they're like, oh, if there's no API, I can't do it. If my agent is unable to do this task, I guess the task can't be done.
No tool use for cranes.
Yeah. And it might take you a long time, and you should not try to automate that last that tale of things.
You started and grew Flexport, like, especially in those first few years during the era where it's just, like, more money coming into like, there's more venture capital each year coming into startups. And, like, you you had, like, multiple fundraising rounds. Like, in in what ways was, like, that capital, like, an advantage? And I feel like now it's sort of somewhat back there in the AI world now. Like, the rounds are heating up.
There's more money flowing in. It's sort of, like, post, like, the 2022 crash. Yeah. What what's your advice to the founders now who are in these, like, companies that are growing and have options to raise, like, huge funding rounds? Like, how should they think about it?
Every company is super unique, so don't listen to advice on a podcast. Like, get get someone who's, like, paying attention, you know, knows the details of your business, which no one will know better than you. Generally, capital is a beautiful thing. Having it in your bank account gives you a lot of advantages. All you really need to care about at the end of the day is price per share because if you issue more stock, like, the numb as long as your price per share goes up, you you are richer.
Doesn't matter how many what percent you own until it comes to control. There's two things that matter. Do you control your company legally or otherwise? Culturally, it also works. But do you really have control over what's gonna or the decisions that are getting made, and do you have a job and and price per share?
And that all that's all that matters. I think I still think that's true. That's always how I thought about there's been a lot of dilution to our investors, but the price per share went up, and everybody's made better off. I didn't take away anybody's shares, so you're better off. The part that I underappreciated and that now I'm take very, very seriously is the degree to which money just wants to spend itself.
And you will end up making a lot of mistakes where and the biggest mistake is believing you for sure, every company has a lot of problems, and you start to default to, like, oh, we'll just use money to solve this problem. And the way that that manifests itself is, oh, I got this thing that we need to do. Okay. Hire someone to do it. And you feel like you just end up very bloated.
We had too many people. You start to really slow down. And it's just a super bad cultural approach to problem solving. Like, you're gonna solve the problems, not the new people that are you're gonna hire. So I I give this advice.
Only one founder's ever listened to me, but I tell founders who who friends of mine who raised a large round. And sure. Go raise a big round. As long as you're up round, like, you're doing good, great. Raise the large round, then do a hiring freeze for ninety days.
The next day to tell your team culturally, like, nope. The money's not gonna solve our problems. We're gonna solve our problems and keep that. And then, sure, go higher. But it's because it's super it it happened to us over and over again where you just, like, headcount got out of control.
So all the plans look good. I wanna fund all the we're budgeting for next year, I'm like, god. Like, it's so painful not to Yeah. Add the OpEx, add engineers, whatever. But you gotta stay disciplined, and the money will easily make that stop.
So I'm really psyched to hear about this idea that AI is actually transforming your business in pretty fundamental ways. It's, like, coming bottom up. What does Flexport look like in 2035?
One cool thing about Flexport is the way our vision has evolved. I mentioned we started as a customer's broker. Yeah. We do all end to end all the way from factory floor to consumer stores. Like, we have a ecommerce business that does fulfillment, retail store distribution, etcetera.
So we wanna take that globally to where you can really ship anything, anywhere, by any means, any mode, in any quantity, and do it all via code. Like, all available via APIs or voice or it's just, like, easy to execute transactions at the lowest cost, automate away the cost. And so that brands, companies of all kinds don't spend time thinking about logistics. Logistics should be this utility that just works just like you don't spend time thinking about the electrical grid. You flip the light switch, you get power.
You go back to doing your thing, which is making something people want and talking to users. Right? That's what I think company should do. Our customers should be doing that all day. Like, make great products, make a great brand to sell those products, and we'll take care of everything in between in the most automated, efficient, reliable ways possible on a global basis.
So today and we have a long ways to go to actually make all that true. First off, the automation stuff I talked about, making progress, but you gotta keep going. And then the global aspect. So we have employee we shipped cargo to and from a 147 countries last year, but we only have employees in 22 countries. And, therefore, people on the ground that can do the work, yes, we are automating that work.
And in fact, it's easier for us to automate our own employees' work than it is some third party company that's doing work. You know, even though they're in our software, it's very hard to automate. We don't know what they're doing. So we want to be in every country by 2035, certainly. In fact, our road map has us covering 95% of all container trade with our own people doing all the work in the country in 2028.
So by 2035, I think we could realistically say, look. We'll be everywhere that's that's legal. And that is a big extension of our original vision, and I didn't have all that in mind when I did YC demo day. My pitch was like, we'll do customs, and then we'll add some other stuff. But it wasn't like, we will cover the earth.
Any two plates on earth. Whatever you wanna move, we'll move it. It's a yeah. It's a very ambitious goal. The good thing is I'd we really genuinely we're gonna win on tech.
We're winning. We're gonna extend our lead there relative to our peers, our competitors. We're behind them on the global side, and that's super fun. If you told 25 year old me, they're like, oh, Ryan, your job this year is we gotta launch Flexport in Indonesia, Australia, Japan, Philippines, Turkey, and Poland, and France. I'd be like, oh my, really?
I get to go to all those places and talk to the locals and stuff? So it's a it's a pretty fun moment in our history, but also really challenging, but fun kind of challenging. Yeah.
No better kind. Ryan, thank you so much for joining us, man. It's always a pleasure. Alright. We'll see you guys next time.
AI Is Eating Logistics
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