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Palmer Luckey got fired from Meta for backing the wrong candidate—now he's the hero saving American defense, and that shift tells you everything about how fast the ground moved beneath Silicon Valley'...
Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz trace Silicon Valley's journey from defense partner to hostile skeptic and back again, explaining how Ukraine, COVID, and China's rise forced a cultural reckoning. They detail the creation of a16z's American dynamism practice with Katherine Boyle and David Ulevitch, which bets on founders rebuilding America's industrial base—from defense tech and energy to manufacturing and mining—using the same innovation playbook that created trillion-dollar software companies. The thesis: America wins by being more like itself—dynamic, entrepreneurial, fast-iterating—not by copying China's centralized five-year plans.
Marc and Ben recount how Silicon Valley was deeply integrated with defense from the 1950s through the 1990s—Netscape sold to the Pentagon in 1994, both founders had top-secret clearances. Post-Vietnam and post-Iraq sentiment, combined with heated 2010s politics, created escalating hostility culminating in Google's Maven revolt where employees forced the company to abandon a Pentagon AI contract.
Katherine Boyle contrasts the Bob Noyce generation (hands-on engineers from rural America building physical things) with the Harvard dorm room culture popularized by The Social Network. Geographic and cultural distance matters: DC sees uniformed service members daily on the Metro; Silicon Valley can go decades without seeing anyone in uniform. The 2020 'It's Time to Build' essay marked the turning point.
David Ulevitch shares the origin story of American dynamism: meeting Palmer Luckey in 2019, competing with Katherine Boyle (then at General Catalyst) for Anduril's Series B, having to split the deal, and awkwardly asking for her diligence notes. Garrett Langley of Flock Safety later played matchmaker, suggesting they join forces at a16z, which led to the 2021 launch of the American dynamism practice.
David explains why hardware is no longer the capital-intensive nightmare investors feared: early American dynamism companies used commodity hardware (Flock's cameras were phone cameras in boxes) paired with advanced software for computer vision and autonomy. Government sales cycles are predictable, not Christmas-dependent. Equipment financing is available. The moment arrived when software could transform physical products.
David outlines the energy investment thesis: society has insatiable demand for power (AI compute, EVs, aging grid). Historical data shows pouring energy into economies creates growth. The firm needs modular, mobile, transmittable power generation—hence investments in Exawatt (solar) and Radiant Nuclear. Three companies are now on China's 'unreliable entities list' and banned from buying Chinese batteries.
Katherine describes how Space 1.0 required vertical integration (build everything yourself, take 10 years to orbit). Space 2.0 companies like Apex (satellite buses) and Northwood (ground stations) are deconstructing the stack, reaching orbit in 13 months by focusing on specific components. SpaceX's manufacturing lessons are spreading across tens of thousands of engineers who've left to build new companies.
Katherine explains the golden triangle: desperate customers (Pentagon + Congress), abundant downstream capital, and founders graduating from SpaceX/Anduril with manufacturing expertise. SpaceX and Palantir 'walked so others could run'—both had to sue the government in the 2000s. Now legacy primes actively partner with startups, and procurement reform is finally happening. Defense 2.0 companies grow faster by working with incumbents, not just competing.
Katherine and David discuss how Ukraine proved $1,000 drones can destroy $100M tanks, changing war economics forever. The concept of 'attritable systems'—cheap, expendable hardware you can lose—is now central to Pentagon thinking. China supplied both sides of Ukraine, building up their industrial base while America's atrophied. Battlefield iteration cycles are now days, not decades. Wars of mass production favor whoever can manufacture fastest.
Marc argues America won't get 1980s factory jobs back—and shouldn't want them. The future is e-bikes (not bicycles), Tesla-style automated plants, and 'blue collar plus' jobs maintaining sophisticated robotics. Products are more complex (batteries, chips, computers), manufacturing is more automated, and jobs are higher-skilled and better-paid. China's set up to build tomorrow's robots by default; America needs to re-industrialize for future products, not past ones.
Marc recounts how 1980s economics textbooks taught communism was superior to capitalism due to centralized efficiency. The five-year plan—invented by Stalin—still infects corporate America and the Pentagon. China's centralized system has advantages for pumping out billions of phones, but America won Cold War I through dynamism, creativity, and entrepreneurship. The answer isn't more state control; it's unleashing even more American innovation and flexibility.
Katherine explains how the Department of Defense still operates on Soviet-style five-year planning cycles from the 1960s-70s, while Ukraine iterates in days. Current RFPs require 'past performance'—favoring incumbents regardless of budget overruns. Reforms in the 2025 NDAA will shift toward 'what can you deliver today?' enabling startups. Operation Warp Speed showed capitalism at its best: government set demand signal, private companies competed, three vaccines in record time.
David and Katherine outline expansion into 'shifting left'—the supply chain components needed before you build anything. Mining, critical minerals, magnets, motors, copper, steel represent trillions in economic spend where software hasn't penetrated. Advanced algorithms can optimize mining (pressure, temperature, site selection). Manufacturing and supply chain resilience are critical for conflict scenarios. These legacy categories are ripe for technology transformation.
Katherine describes Odyssey's thesis around Education Savings Accounts (ESAs)—state programs letting parents opt out of public schools and receive cash for alternative education. Texas passed universal ESA; other states following. COVID accelerated homeschooling and hybrid models. Odyssey builds financial rails to track and regulate ESA spending. AI-powered one-on-one tutoring and alternative learning methods are transforming K-12 education.
Katherine describes what makes American dynamism founders different: they're built across America (Austin, Atlanta), not just SF. Many served in military (Saronic's Dino: 11 years Navy SEALs before business school). They have clearances before starting companies, deeply understand customer needs, and speak the government's language. This isn't Harvard dorm room coding—it's founders who've lived the problems they're solving.
Ben Horowitz & Marc Andreessen: Why Silicon Valley Turned Against Defense (And How We’re Fixing It)
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